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Monday, June 20, 2011

Recovery continues to creep along

The state's budget reserves were essentially wiped out last week due to the release of the lastest economic forecast.

Tax revenues were down $738 million, which leaves the state with a cushion of only $163 million dollars. As happenstance has it, Governor Gregoire signed the $32 billion budget last week with the understanding that there would be a $738 million reserve/cushion. With these new numbers, the state has a "paltry" $163 million, which begs the question: What happened?

The state's top economist Arun Raha explained that the recovery is occuring slower than expected. "The U.S. economy has entered another soft-patch in a recovery that is proving to be far more bumpy and fragile than usual. While growth continues, it does so at a slower rate than before," he said. (Seattle Times story is here.)

This begs another question: What's next? The next revenue forecast is in September and if it is negative again there is a real possibility of the governor calling another special session in the fall. Stay tuned.

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